3.     Emission Sources and Estimates

3.1        Energy Consumption Statistics

Production and consumption of energy typically involves extraction or production of primary energy, processing or refining of primary energy, transformation of energy from one form to another, transportation and distribution of energy and end-use or consumption.  The details of the process depend on the type of energy.  This section presents a summary of energy production and consumption in Pakistan.

3.1.1        Primary Energy Consumption

Primary commercial energy produced in Pakistan includes natural gas, crude oil, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), coal, hydro electricity and nuclear electricity.  The consumption figures by year for commercial energy are shown in Exhibit 3.1.  Production and consumption of individual fuels are discussed below.

Natural Gas

Natural gas is produced from about 30 gas fields in Pakistan.[1]  The total estimated natural gas reserves in the country as on June 30, 1999 amounted to 0.58 trillion cubic meters.  The total production in 1998-1999 was 20,432 million cubic meters, with a net energy value of 16.32 mtoe.[2]  The largest field, located at Sui, Balochistan, produced 8,638 million cubic meters of natural gas, ie, 42 percent of the total production.

A portion of the produced gas is consumed in the processing plants and in compression stations at the pipeline.  The remaining natural gas is distributed through a network of transmission and distribution pipelines operated by two transmission and distribution companies.  The total length of the network is 58,667 km.

In 1999 there were 3.171 million domestic, 57 thousand commercial and 4.4 thousand industrial consumers.  After subtracting the transmission and distribution losses the total gas available for consumers in 1998-1999 was 18,005 million cubic meters.

Oil

Crude oil is produced from about 70 oil fields in Pakistan.  The total estimated crude oil reserves in the country as on June 30, 1999 amounted to 250 million barrels.  The total production in 1998-1999 was 19,985,677 barrels with a net energy value of 2.68 mtoe. 

There are four petroleum refineries in Pakistan.  In 1998-1999 the refineries processed 6.52 million tonnes of crude oil, of which 2.12 million tonnes (32.6 percent of the total) was locally produced crude and the remaining 4.40 million tonnes were imported.  The refineries produced 5.93 million tonnes of fuel oils including motor spirits, kerosene, diesel, aviation fuels, furnace oil, naphtha, and LPG.  In the same period, 10.93 million tonnes of fuel oil mainly comprising high speed diesel and furnace oil were imported.  The total production of non-energy products (lubricant, solvent oils, asphalt, etc.) in 1998-1999 was 0.41 million tonnes.

Crude oil and petroleum products are transmitted and distributed by pipelines, rail lorries and road tankers.  There are about 2,000 km of oil pipelines in the country of which about 1,250 km are cross-country.

LPG

In 1998-1999, oil refineries in Pakistan produced 68,048 tonnes of LPG, whereas the oil processing plants at the oil fields produced 137,891 tonnes of LPG.  Nearly, 29,000 tonnes of LPG were imported during the period.

Coal

There are about 15 coalfields in Pakistan of which nine are developed.  In 1998-1999 the total production of coal from these fields was 3.46 million tonnes.

Hydroelectricity

There are three large hydropower plants in the country with a total installed capacity of 4,718 MW.  In addition, electricity is produced by nine small hydel plants with a total installed capacity of 108 MW.  In 1998-1999, the total electricity generated by these plants was 22,449 GWh.

Nuclear Electricity

In 1998-1999 there was one nuclear power plant with a capacity of 137 MW operating in the country.  During the year, the plant produced 284 GWh of electricity.[3]

Biofuels

Reliable historical data for biofuel (fuelwood, animal residue, crop residue, and wood charcoal) consumption is not available.  A nationwide household energy survey was conducted in 1991 (HESS, 1993).  In 1991, the total consumption of biofuel in Pakistan, as reported by this study, was 21.0 mtoe.  The annual growth rate of biofuel consumption was reported to be 2 percent.  The biofuel consumption for 1998-1999 estimated on the basis of this growth rate was 24.6 mtoe, which amounts to about 36 percent of the total primary energy consumption.

3.1.2        Final Energy Consumption

Consumption of final energy by sectors and fuels is shown in Exhibit 3.3.  A breakdown for mobile sources is shown in Exhibit 3.4.

Exhibit 3.1:  Primary Commercial Energy Consumption in Pakistan

Year

Consumption (mtoe)

Oil

Gas

LPG

Coal

Hydro-electricity

Nuclear Electricity

1971-72

7.21

42.9%

35.6%

0.1%

8.3%

12.8%

0.3%

1972-73

7.74

40.0%

37.4%

0.1%

7.5%

14.1%

0.9%

1973-74

8.33

39.5%

39.7%

0.1%

7.0%

12.5%

1.2%

1974-75

9.29

41.2%

38.6%

0.2%

6.7%

11.8%

1.5%

1975-76

9.05

38.9%

38.5%

0.3%

5.7%

15.1%

1.5%

1976-77

9.59

39.0%

40.0%

0.3%

6.1%

13.6%

1.0%

1977-78

10.68

37.7%

38.3%

0.3%

5.6%

17.5%

0.5%

1978-79

11.65

38.8%

37.2%

0.4%

5.6%

17.8%

0.2%

1979-80

13.02

36.7%

40.5%

0.3%

5.7%

16.8%

0.0%

1980-81

14.07

36.7%

41.6%

0.3%

5.3%

15.8%

0.3%

1981-82

14.79

36.8%

40.9%

0.4%

5.6%

16.1%

0.2%

1982-83

16.23

38.1%

39.1%

0.3%

4.7%

17.6%

0.3%

1983-84

16.97

40.1%

34.9%

0.5%

5.2%

19.0%

0.4%

1984-85

17.96

40.8%

35.4%

0.4%

5.9%

17.1%

0.4%

1985-86

19.15

41.1%

34.5%

0.4%

5.4%

18.1%

0.5%

1986-87

20.93

41.4%

34.2%

0.5%

5.1%

18.3%

0.5%

1987-88

26.00

38.8%

37.1%

0.4%

7.3%

16.2%

0.3%

1988-89

26.96

39.5%

37.3%

0.4%

6.9%

15.9%

0.0%

1989-90

29.24

39.3%

37.7%

0.4%

7.7%

14.6%

0.3%

1990-91

30.06

38.1%

38.8%

0.4%

7.0%

15.3%

0.3%

1991-92

32.26

39.5%

38.4%

0.3%

6.8%

14.6%

0.3%

1992-93

34.79

39.9%

37.6%

0.3%

6.4%

15.3%

0.4%

1993-94

37.06

41.3%

38.3%

0.3%

6.6%

13.2%

0.3%

1994-95

38.38

41.2%

37.3%

0.4%

5.7%

15.0%

0.3%

1995-96

41.25

42.2%

36.9%

0.5%

6.0%

14.2%

0.2%

1996-97

41.19

42.6%

38.5%

0.4%

5.5%

12.8%

0.2%

1997-98

42.39

43.6%

37.6%

0.4%

5.1%

13.1%

0.2%

1998-99

44.05

42.8%

38.6%

0.4%

5.1%

12.8%

0.2%

Source:  Various editions of the Pakistan Energy Yearbook (see References)

Exhibit 3.2:  Total Primary Energy Consumption in Pakistan

Year

Consumption (mtoe)

Oil

Gas

LPG

Coal

Hydro-electricity

Nuclear Electricity

Biofuels

1971-72

21.62

14.3%

11.9%

0.0%

2.8%

4.3%

0.1%

66.7%

1972-73

22.44

13.8%

12.9%

0.0%

2.6%

4.9%

0.3%

65.5%

1973-74

23.33

14.1%

14.2%

0.0%

2.5%

4.5%

0.4%

64.3%

1974-75

24.59

15.6%

14.6%

0.1%

2.5%

4.5%

0.6%

62.2%

1975-76

24.66

14.3%

14.1%

0.1%

2.1%

5.5%

0.6%

63.3%

1976-77

25.51

14.7%

15.0%

0.1%

2.3%

5.1%

0.4%

62.4%

1977-78

26.91

15.0%

15.2%

0.1%

2.2%

6.9%

0.2%

60.3%

1978-79

28.20

16.0%

15.4%

0.2%

2.3%

7.3%

0.1%

58.7%

1979-80

29.91

16.0%

17.6%

0.1%

2.5%

7.3%

0.0%

56.5%

1980-81

31.30

16.5%

18.7%

0.1%

2.4%

7.1%

0.1%

55.0%

1981-82

32.36

16.8%

18.7%

0.2%

2.6%

7.4%

0.1%

54.3%

1982-83

34.16

18.1%

18.6%

0.1%

2.2%

8.4%

0.1%

52.5%

1983-84

35.25

19.3%

16.8%

0.2%

2.5%

9.1%

0.2%

51.9%

1984-85

36.61

20.0%

17.4%

0.2%

2.9%

8.4%

0.2%

50.9%

1985-86

38.17

20.6%

17.3%

0.2%

2.7%

9.1%

0.3%

49.8%

1986-87

40.34

21.5%

17.7%

0.3%

2.6%

9.5%

0.3%

48.1%

1987-88

45.79

22.0%

21.1%

0.2%

4.1%

9.2%

0.2%

43.2%

1988-89

47.15

22.6%

21.3%

0.2%

3.9%

9.1%

0.0%

42.8%

1989-90

49.83

23.1%

22.1%

0.2%

4.5%

8.6%

0.2%

41.3%

1990-91

51.06

22.4%

22.8%

0.2%

4.1%

9.0%

0.2%

41.1%

1991-92

53.68

23.7%

23.1%

0.2%

4.1%

8.8%

0.2%

39.9%

1992-93

56.64

24.5%

23.1%

0.2%

3.9%

9.4%

0.2%

38.6%

1993-94

59.34

25.8%

23.9%

0.2%

4.1%

8.2%

0.2%

37.6%

1994-95

61.11

25.9%

23.4%

0.3%

3.6%

9.4%

0.2%

37.2%

1995-96

64.43

27.0%

23.6%

0.3%

3.8%

9.1%

0.1%

36.0%

1996-97

64.84

27.1%

24.5%

0.3%

3.5%

8.1%

0.1%

36.5%

1997-98

66.51

27.8%

24.0%

0.3%

3.3%

8.3%

0.1%

36.3%

1998-99

68.65

27.5%

24.8%

0.3%

3.3%

8.2%

0.1%

35.8%

Source:  Various editions of the Pakistan Energy Yearbook (see References)

 

Exhibit 3.3:  Final Energy Consumption for 1998-99

Sector

Consumption (mtoe)

Oil

Gas

Electricity

Coal

Biofuels

Industry

10.43

21.2%

38.9%

9.9%

13.8%

16.1%

Domestic-Residential

27.70

2.7%

11.7%

6.0%

0.0%

79.6%

Domestic-Commercial

1.69

4.0%

31.4%

12.3%

 

52.3%

Domestic-Agriculture

0.76

36.2%

 

63.8%

 

 

Transport

8.76

99.4%

0.6%

0.0%

 

 

Government

0.73

56.7%

 

43.3%

 

 

Power Generation

10.11

56.3%

41.8%

0.0%

1.9%

0.0%

Total excluding Power Generation

50.07

24.8%

15.8%

7.4%

2.9%

49.1%

Source:  PYEB, 1999

 

Exhibit 3.4:  Energy Consumption in Mobile Sources for 1998

Vehicle Category

Size

Fuel

Consumption (mtoe)

Taxi Cabs

Small (< 1.5 liters)

LPG

0.007

Taxi Cabs

Small (< 1.5 liters)

CNG

0.002

Motor Cars

Small (< 1.5 liters)

CNG

0.007

Motor Cars

Medium (1.5-2.0 liters)

CNG

0.003

Motorcycles/Scooters

 

Gasoline

0.325

Rickshaws

 

Gasoline

0.207

Taxi Cabs

Small (< 1.5 liters)

Gasoline

0.100

Motor Cars

Small (< 1.5 liters)

Gasoline

0.308

Motor Cars

Medium (1.5-2.0 liters)

Gasoline

0.133

Motor Cars

Large (> 2.0 liters)

Gasoline

0.041

Jeeps

 

Gasoline

0.019

Delivery Vans

 

Gasoline

0.301

Others

 

Gasoline

0.056

Taxi Cabs

Small (< 1.5 liters)

Diesel

0.010

Motor Cars

Medium (1.5-2.0 liters)

Diesel

0.009

Motor Cars

Large (> 2.0 liters)

Diesel

0.006

Jeeps

 

Diesel

0.054

Station Wagons

 

Diesel

0.365

Delivery Vans

 

Diesel

0.046

Buses

 

Diesel

1.269

Trucks

 

Diesel

2.367

Tractors

 

Diesel

2.286

Trains

 

Diesel

0.153

Trains

 

FO

0.004

Trains

 

Electric

0.001

Boats

 

Diesel and Gasoline

 

Source:  NEIP, 2000
Note:  Fuel consumption for boats is not known.

 

3.2        Sulfur Dioxide

3.2.1        Sources

Sulfur dioxide (SO2) is mainly emitted by combustion of sulfur containing fuels.  The main sources include combustion of coal in power plants and brick kilns; furnace oil in power plants and industries; diesel oil in power plants and transport; and fuelwood in the residential sector.

SO2 is also emitted during industrial production processes.  In Pakistan, the predominant sources are sulfuric acid, paper and cement production and petroleum refining.  Exhibit 3.5 presents the product throughput for these industries for 1997-1998.

3.2.2        Emission Factors

Indigenous Coal

There are more than a dozen coalfields in Pakistan.  The sulfur content of coal from these fields varies over a large range (from 0 percent in case of Jhimpir-Meting to 10 percent in Padhrar in the Central Salt Range).  The concentration of sulfur often varies within the field as well. 

Lakhra coal field in Sindh is the sole source of coal for the only major coal-based power plant in the country.[4]  The average concentration of sulfur in Lakhra coal has been used to represent the sulfur content of coal in the power sector.

To compute the effective sulfur content of coal used in the other sectors, a weighted average of sulfur content in Pakistan’s coalfields has been calculated on the basis of the last six years’ production.  Production from Lakhra used in this calculation does not contain the power plant consumption.

The values recommended by IPCC, 1996 are used for sulfur retention in coal combustion.  The sulfur content and sulfur retention in coal used in Pakistan is shown in Exhibit 3.6.

Other Fuels

Limited reliable information is available on sulfur contents of other fuels used in Pakistan.  The value of sulfur concentration in Pakistan’s fuels has been selected in the following manner:

a      Any available measurement has been used

a      Where no measurement is available but specifications for maximum concentration of sulfur are given, the maximum limit is assumed as the prevailing concentration

a      Where no information is available from the above two sources, values recommended by various emissions inventory guidelines and typical values from other countries are reviewed and the most likely value, based on similarity of conditions, is selected.  Where different values are given by different sources and not enough information is available to ascertain the likely value for Pakistan, a conservative approach is adopted and the highest value selected.

A complete list of sulfur contents of fuels from several sources, the selected values for sulfur content of Pakistani’s fuels and the rationale for each selection are given in NEIP, 2000.

Exhibit 3.7 shows the sulfur contents of fuels other than coal.  Sulfur retention in ash for these fuels is assumed to be zero, as recommended by IPCC, 1996.

Process Emissions

The emission factors for industrial production processes are shown in Exhibit 3.8.  The cement industry in Pakistan uses several different types of technologies.  A composite emission factor for cement production was developed based on the installed capacity of the cement plants in 1997.

3.2.3        Current Emission Estimates

The sectoral breakdown of SO2 emissions for 1997-1998 is shown in Exhibit 3.9.

3.2.4        Trends in Emissions

The SO2 emission trend from 1980 to 1998 is shown in Exhibit 3.10. 

 

Exhibit 3.5:  Throughput of Industrial Processes that are Sources of SO2 Emission

Process

Product Throughput (‘000 tonnes)

Paper and Pulp Sulfite/Semi-chemical Pulp

344.8

Oil Refineries (Throughput)

6,444.5

Sulfuric Acid Production

28.1

Cement Production

9,364.0

Sources: ES, 1999; PYEB, 1999

 

Exhibit 3.6:  Sulfur Contents and Sulfur Retention in Ash of Coal

Fuel Type

Sulfur Content

Sulfur Retention

Coking Coal

0.5%

5%

Lignite and Sub-Bituminous Coal used in Power Generation

4.9%

30%

Lignite and Sub-Bituminous Coal used in other sectors

5.1%

30%

Source: NEIP, 2000

 

Exhibit 3.7:  Sulfur Contents of Fuels Other than Coal

Fuel Type

Sulfur Content

Crude Oil

1.0%

Aviation Fuel

0.05%

Gasoline

0.01%

Kerosene

0.2%

High Speed Diesel (HSD)

1.0%

Light Diesel Oil (LDO)

1.8%

Furnace Oil

3.0%

Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG)

0.00016%

Other Non-Energy Oils

0.0%

Natural Gas

0.01%

Biomass (Fuelwood)

0.2%

Biomass (Crop Residue)

0.01%

Biomass (Animal Residue)

0.00225%

Biomass (Wood Charcoal)

0.0%

Source: NEIP, 2000

 

Exhibit 3.8:  Emission Factors for SO2 Emission from Industrial Production Processes

Process

Emission Factor
(kg/tonne of Product)

Paper and Pulp Sulfite/Semi-chemical Pulp

30.0

Oil Refineries (Throughput)

1.3

Sulfuric Acid Production

17.5

Cement Production

0.6

Sources: NEIP, 2000

Exhibit 3.9:  Sectoral Emission of Sulfur Dioxide for 1997-98

Sector

Emission  ('000 tonnes)

Share

Industry (Combustion)

317.59

41.7%

Industry (Processes)

24.60

3.2%

Domestic-Residential

54.39

7.1%

Domestic-Commercial

3.37

0.4%

Domestic-Agricultural

8.82

1.2%

Transport

120.87

15.9%

Power Generation

230.25

30.2%

Government

2.45

0.3%

 

Exhibit 3.10:  Sulfur Dioxide Emission for 1980-98

Year

SO2 Emission (‘000 tonnes)

1980

253.7

1985

384.6

1990

528.2

1991

524.0

1992

565.5

1993

605.5

1994

664.0

1995

658.5

1996

757.6

1997

754.6

1998

762.3

 

3.3        Nitrogen Oxides

3.3.1        Sources

The most common air pollutant oxides of nitrogen are nitric oxide (NO) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2).  Nitrogen oxides are formed during the process of fuel combustion by oxidation of atmospheric and fuel nitrogen.  The rate emission depends on many factors such as the design of burner and combustion chamber, the air available during combustion, flame temperature, and nitrogen content of fuel.  For these reasons, it is important to categorize the emission sources not only on the basis of fuel but also on the basis of combustion conditions.

Mobile Sources

Vehicles are the largest source of nitrogen oxide emissions.  The total number of vehicles of different categories for 1998 is shown in Exhibit 3.11.

Industrial Process Emission

Nitrogen oxides are also emitted during industrial production processes.  In Pakistan, the predominant sources are paper and cement production and petroleum refining.  The product throughput for these industries for 1997-1998 is given in Exhibit 3.12.

3.3.2        Emission Factors

Stationary Sources

The nitrogen oxide emission factors for fuel combustion in stationary sources are given in Exhibit 3.13. 

Industrial Process Emission

The nitrogen oxide emission factors for industrial production processes are shown in Exhibit 3.14.  The cement industry in Pakistan uses several different types of technologies.  A composite emission factor for cement production was developed.  based on the installed capacity of the cement plants in 1997.

Mobile Sources

The nitrogen oxide emission factors for fuel combustion in mobile sources are given in Exhibit 3.15. 

3.3.3        Current Emission Estimates

The sectoral breakdown of nitrogen oxide emissions for 1997-1998 is shown in Exhibit 3.16.

3.3.4        Trends in Emissions

The nitrogen oxide emission trend from 1980 to 1998 is shown in Exhibit 3.17. 

Exhibit 3.11:  Number of Mobile Sources

Vehicle Category

Size

Fuel

Number (‘000)

Taxi Cabs

Small (< 1.5 liters)

LPG

3.8

Taxi Cabs

Small (< 1.5 liters)

CNG

1.3

Motor Cars

Small (< 1.5 liters)

CNG

9.4

Motor Cars

Medium (1.5-2.0 liters)

CNG

3.4

Motorcycles/Scooters

 

Gasoline

1,843.7

Rickshaws

 

Gasoline

82.9

Taxi Cabs

Small (< 1.5 liters)

Gasoline

54.9

Motor Cars

Small (< 1.5 liters)

Gasoline

437.7

Motor Cars

Medium (1.5-2.0 liters)

Gasoline

148.3

Motor Cars

Large (> 2.0 liters)

Gasoline

28.7

Jeeps

 

Gasoline

11.5

Delivery Vans

 

Gasoline

148.0

Others

 

Gasoline

89.7

Taxi Cabs

Small (< 1.5 liters)

Diesel

3.2

Motor Cars

Medium (1.5-2.0 liters)

Diesel

8.0

Motor Cars

Large (> 2.0 liters)

Diesel

3.2

Jeeps

 

Diesel

46.0

Station Wagons

 

Diesel

72.6

Delivery Vans

 

Diesel

9.4

Buses

 

Diesel

79.7

Trucks

 

Diesel

136.5

Tractors

 

Diesel

492.2

Trains

 

Diesel

89.6

Trains

 

FO

1.4

Trains

 

Electric

 

Boats

 

Diesel and Gasoline

14.3

Source: NEIP, 2000

 

Exhibit 3.12:  Throughput of Industrial Processes that are Sources of NOX Emission

Process

Product Throughput (‘000 tonnes)

Paper and Pulp Sulfite/Semi-chemical Pulp

344.8

Oil Refineries (Throughput)

6,444.5

Cement Production

9,364.0

Sources: ES, 1999; PYEB, 1999

 

Exhibit 3.13:  Nitrogen Oxide Emission Factors for Stationary Sources (tonnes/mtoe)

 

Industry

Residential

Commercial

Agricultural

Power

Other

Lignite and Sub-Bituminous Coal

6,141

4,235

 

 

6,141

 

Kerosene

 

112

 

 

 

112

High Speed Diesel (HSD)

57,600

 

 

 

12,577

 

Light Diesel Oil (LDO)

57,600

 

 

57600

12,577

57,600

Furnace Oil

6,844

 

 

 

7,153

6,844

Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG)

 

3,489

3,489

 

 

3,489

Natural Gas

1,763

604

604

 

5,534

 

Biomass (Fuelwood)

1,963

2,093

2,093

 

 

 

Biomass (Crop Residue)

2,791

4,187

 

 

 

 

Biomass (Animal Residue)

 

4,187

 

 

 

 

Biomass (Wood Charcoal)

 

4,187

 

 

 

 

 

Exhibit 3.14:  Emission Factors for NOX Emission from Industrial Production Processes

Process

Emission Factor
(kg/tonne of Product)

Paper and Pulp Sulfite/Semi-chemical Pulp

2.0

Oil Refineries (Throughput)

0.3

Cement Production

3.1

Sources: NEIP, 2000

 

Exhibit 3.15:  Emission Factors for NOX Emission from Mobile Sources

Vehicle Category

Size

Fuel

Emission Factor
(Gg NO2/mtoe)

Taxi Cabs

Small (< 1.5 liters)

LPG

37.68

Taxi Cabs

Small (< 1.5 liters)

CNG

15.91

Motor Cars

Small (< 1.5 liters)

CNG

15.91

Motor Cars

Medium (1.5-2.0 liters)

CNG

15.91

Motorcycles/Scooters

 

Gasoline

5.11

Rickshaws

 

Gasoline

8.37

Taxi Cabs

Small (< 1.5 liters)

Gasoline

25.12

Motor Cars

Small (< 1.5 liters)

Gasoline

25.12

Motor Cars

Medium (1.5-2.0 liters)

Gasoline

25.12

Motor Cars

Large (> 2.0 liters)

Gasoline

25.12

Jeeps

 

Gasoline

29.31

Delivery Vans

 

Gasoline

29.31

Others

 

Gasoline

49.68

Taxi Cabs

Small (< 1.5 liters)

Diesel

12.56

Motor Cars

Medium (1.5-2.0 liters)

Diesel

12.56

Motor Cars

Large (> 2.0 liters)

Diesel

12.56

Jeeps

 

Diesel

16.75

Station Wagons

 

Diesel

112.39

Delivery Vans

 

Diesel

16.75

Buses

 

Diesel

20.35

Trucks

 

Diesel

41.87

Tractors

 

Diesel

50.24

Trains

 

Diesel

35.78

Trains

 

FO

11.14

Trains

 

Electric

 

Boats

 

Diesel and Gasoline

 

Source: NEIP, 2000

Exhibit 3.16:  Sectoral Emission of Nitrogen Oxides for 1997-98

Sector

Emission  ('000 tonnes)

Share

Industry (Combustion)

44.0

8.8%

Industry (Processes)

22.4

4.5%

Domestic-Residential

23.4

4.7%

Domestic-Commercial

1.1

0.2%

Domestic-Agricultural

15.5

3.1%

Transport

324.5

64.6%

Power Generation

70.9

14.1%

Government

0.3

0.1%

 

Exhibit 3.17:  Nitrogen Oxides Emission for 1980-98

Year

NOX Emission (‘000 tonnes)

1980

151.28

1985

218.32

1990

334.06

1991

330.73

1992

372.52

1993

398.03

1994

425.23

1995

439.45

1996

468.48

1997

482.45

1998

502.16

 

3.4        Ammonia

3.4.1        Sources

Ammonia is emitted from a number of sources.  The largest source is animal husbandry, which accounts for nearly 80 percent of the total emissions.  In this inventory, the following sources are included:

a      Animal husbandry

a      Fertilizer application

a      Fertilizer production

a      Humans

a      Fossil fuel combustion.

3.4.2        Emission Factors for Ammonia

The emission factors for ammonia have been obtained from Battye, 1994.  In certain cases, for example animal husbandry, specific emission factors for Pakistan have been developed using this source.  The details of calculation of emission factors are given in NEIP, 2000.  The emission factors used to estimate the emissions are shown in Exhibit 3.18.

3.4.3        Current Emission Estimates

Exhibit 3.19 presents estimates of ammonia emissions from various sources for 1997-1998.

3.4.4        Trends in Emissions

The ammonia emission trend from 1980 to 1998 is shown in Exhibit 3.20. 

 

Exhibit 3.18:  Emission Factors for Ammonia Emission

Category

Source

Value (kg/unit)

Unit

Animal Husbandry

Cattle and Calves-Composite

22.9

Animal

 

Buffaloes

24.19

Animal

 

Chicken-Composite

0.1718

Animal

 

Ducks

0.117

Animal

 

Sheep and Lambs

3.37

Animal

 

Goats

6.4

Animal

 

Horses

12.2

Animal

 

Camels

12.2

Animal

 

Asses

12.2

Animal

 

Mules

12.2

Animal

Fertilizer Application

Urea

182

Mg N

 

Ammonium Nitrate

25

Mg N

 

Ammonium Sulfate

97

Mg N

 

Ammonium Phosphate

48

Mg N

 

Nitrophosphate

48

Mg N

 

NPK

48

Mg N

Industrial Process

Ammonium Nitrate - Total

46.31

Mg of Product

 

Urea Manufacture - Total

9.66

Mg of Product

 

Beet Sugar

0.00262

Mg Sugar

Combustion

Coal

0.00028

Mg coal

 

Fuel Oil

0.096

1000 liters

 

NG-Utility and Industrial Boilers

51

10^6 m3

 

NG-Commercial Boilers

78

10^6 m3

 

Mobile Sources - Leaded gasoline

0.05

1000 liters

 

Mobile Sources - Diesel

0.11

1000 liters

Miscellaneous

Humans

0.25

Person

Source: NEIP, 2000

Exhibit 3.19:  Emission of Ammonia for 1997-98

Sector

Emission  ('000 tonnes)

Share

Livestock

1,427.7

78.5%

Fertilizer Application

310.7

17.1%

Fertilizer Production

46.4

2.6%

Combustions

2.2

0.1%

Humans

32.6

1.8%

 

Exhibit 3.20:  Ammonia Emission for 1980-98

Year

Emission (‘000 tonnes)

1980

1,064.9

1985

1,266.1

1990

1,465.8

1991

1,499.5

1992

1,515.2

1993

1,591.2

1994

1,672.4

1995

1,674.2

1996

1,770.1

1997

1,834.6

1998

1,819.6

 

3.5        Suspended Particulate Matter

3.5.1        Sources

Suspended particulate matter (SPM) emissions result from both human activities and natural sources.  Human activities that are included in the emission estimate are fuel combustion in stationary and mobiles sources and industrial processes (production of paper, nitrogen fertilizer and petroleum refining).

Several sources of SPM emissions are not included in the estimate due to lack of data.  These include anthropogenic sources such as crop harvesting, construction activities, and dust stirred up by vehicular traffic on paved and unpaved roads and dust emissions from natural sources.  Size based particulate matter emissions have also not been estimated for the same reason.

3.5.2        Current Emission Estimates

The sectoral breakdown of SPM emissions for 1997-1998 is shown in Exhibit 3.21.

3.5.3        Trends in Emissions

The SPM emissions trend from 1980 to 1998 is shown in Exhibit 3.22. 

 

 

Exhibit 3.21:  Sectoral Emission of Suspended Particulate Matter for 1997-98

Sector

Emission  ('000 tonnes)

Share

Industry (Combustion)

61.08

10%

Industry (Processes)

258.37

44%

Domestic-Residential

205.24

35%

Domestic-Commercial

7.40

1%

Domestic-Agricultural

0.48

0%

Transport

35.36

6%

Power Generation

17.67

3%

Government

0.16

0%

 

Exhibit 3.22:  Suspended Particulate Matter Emission for 1980-98

Year

Emission (‘000 tonnes)

1980

281.53

1985

355.89

1990

462.12

1991

471.05

1992

494.82

1993

519.86

1994

522.28

1995

525.27

1996

577.79

1997

582.88

1998

585.78

 

 


 



[1] All data in this section, unless otherwise stated, is obtained from various publications of Pakistan Energy Yearbook (see references).

[2] Million Tonnes of Oil Equivalent = 41,868 TJ

[3] A second nuclear power plant was commissioned in April 2000.

[4]   A multi-fuel power plant in Quetta, Balochistan is also partially fired by coal.  Since, the source of coal for this plant is not known, the sulfur content of the coal it uses is not separately calculated.  This is unlikely to lead to any major errors in the results, since the total consumption of coal at this power plant is less than 1% of the total indigeneous coal production.