The industrial sector recorded an annual average compound growth rate
of 4.6% from 1970-71 to 1979-80 and 6.6% from 1980-81 to 1989-90 (at constant
price). It achieved a growth rate of 8.5% in the Seventh Plan (1985-86
to 1989-90). The Eighth Plan started in the backdrop of impressive industrial
growth during 1970's and 1980's. Though the average annual growth rate
of the industrial sector including mining, manufacturing and electricity
generation during the Seventh Plan and the Annual Plan 1990-91 was 8.5%,
it was followed by a recession in the year, 1991-92 when the average industrial
growth rate achieved was just 0.6%. Growth rate achieved during the Eighth
Plan is given in Table 3.1.
| Year |
|
|
|
|
| Eighth Plan Target |
|
|
|
|
| 1992-93 |
|
|
|
|
| 1993-94 |
|
|
|
|
| 1994-95 |
|
|
|
|
| 1995-96 |
|
|
|
|
| 1996-97 |
|
|
|
|
| Overall Eight Plan |
|
|
|
|
(All values are in %age)
SOURCE: Ninth Five Year Plan (Draft) Volume - II 1997-2002
Table 3.2 : Changes in Pattern of Energy Consumption
|
|
|
||||||
| Year |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1953-54 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1960-61 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1970-71 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1980-81 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1990-91 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1996-97 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(All values are in %age)
SOURCE: Ninth Five Year Plan (Draft) Volume - II 1997-2002
-primary energy followed by oil. From the Table 3.3 given above, it
is evident that the share of coal is decreasing in the final commercial
energy consumption whereas that of oil and gas is increasing. Oil and gas
accounted for nearly 54% of the total final energy consumption. Only the
direct use of coal, oil and natural gas in industry, household, transport
sector have been considered while estimating the consumption.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
BP Statistical Review of World Energy, June 1998, The British Petroleum Company p.I.c, London, U.K.
* Data for the calender year
Note: Data may not add up to totals due to rounding off
Mtoe : Mega Tonnes of Oil Equivalent
Elaborate data base is required to study the aspects of energy demand.
Such data are not usually compiled adequately and systematically in developing
countries including India. It is evident that the industrial sector is
a largest consumer of energy. The transport sector is likely to register
the second largest increase in the demand on the energy resources in future
after the household sector if only four sectors, i.e. agriculture, industry,
transport and household are taken as consuming the generated energy. The
percentage share of agriculture in the total energy demand is likely to
fall. Higher growth rate in the case of household sector is mainly on account
of the replacement of the non-commercial energy by commercial energy where
continued urbanisation tends to enhance both the availability and cost
advantages of commercial over non-commercial energy for domestic use and
hence substitution. The sectoral composition of final energy use and sector-wise
shares in commercial energy requirement are presented in Tables 3.4, 3.5
& 3.6 below. The need in energy conservation and other demand management
measures cannot be over emphasised. Some efforts are already being made
in this direction.
| Year ®
Sectors ¯ |
|
|
|
| Household |
|
|
|
| Agriculture |
|
|
|
| Industry |
|
|
|
| Transport |
|
|
|
| Other Sectors |
|
|
|
| Non-Energy Use |
|
|
|
Source :- Planning Commission (1991) Sectoral Energy Demand in India,
New Delhi : Govt. of India
Table 3.5 : Sector-wise Shares in Commercial Energy Requirements
| Year ®
Sectors ¯ |
|
|
(% Per Annum) |
| Household |
|
|
|
| Agriculture |
|
|
|
| Industry |
|
|
|
| Transport |
|
|
|
| Other Sectors |
|
|
|
| All Sectors |
|
|
|
SOURCE : Planning Commission (1991) Sectoral Energy Demand in India, New Delhi : Govt. of India
Table 3.6 : Energy Consumption
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Industry |
|
|
|
|
Residential |
|
|
|
|
Power Generation |
|
|
|
|
Fuel Conversion |
|
|
|
|
Agriculture |
|
|
SOURCE: TERI Energy Data Directory & Yearbook (TEDDY) 1996-97 ,1997-98
Mobile Sources
| Fuel |
|
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
| LPG |
|
|
|
|
| SKO |
|
|
|
|
| MS |
|
|
|
|
| Diesel |
|
|
|
|
| Total |
|
|
|
|
SOURCE: Ninth Five Year Plan (Draft) Volume - II 1997-2002
Table 3.8 : Mobile Sources Energy Consumption (Mtoe) 1996-97
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| LPG Vehicles | |||||
| Motor Cycles - 2 Stroke | |||||
| Motor Cycles - 4 Stroke | |||||
| Gasoline Cars(<1.51) | |||||
| Gasoline Cars(1.51-2.01) | |||||
| Gasoline Cars and Light Trucks(>2.01) | |||||
| Heavy Trucks-Gasoline | |||||
| Buses(Gasoline) | |||||
| Diesel Cars(<1.51) | |||||
| Diesel Cars(1.51-2.01)) | |||||
| Diesel Cars and Light Trucks(>2.01) | |||||
| Heavy Trucks(Diesel) | |||||
| Buses(Diesel) |
|
|
|
|
|
| Trains(Coal) |
|
|
|
|
|
| Trains(Diesel) |
|
|
|
|
|
| Boats/Ships(Diesel) |
|
|
|
|
|
| Boats/Ships(Fuel Oil) |
|
|
|
|
|
Coal Directory of India, Various Issues, Coal Controller's Organization,
|
Year |
|
||||
|
|
|
||||
| Paper and Pulp |
|
|
|||
| Copper Smelting |
|
|
|||
| Lead Smelting |
|
|
|||
| Zinc Smelting |
|
|
|||
| Oil Refineries |
|
|
|||
| Sulphuric acid |
|
|
|||
SOURCE:Indian Agro Paper Mills Association (IAPMA).1995. Status of Paper
Industry, p.1, New Delhi : IAPMA
Fertilizer Statistics, The Fertilizer Association of
India, New Delhi, 1994-95, YOP : 1995
Fertilizer Statistics, The Fertilizer Association of
India, New Delhi,
1996-97, YOP : 1997
Directorate General of technical Development, GOI, New
Delhi
India Lead Zinc Development Association, New Delhi
Monthly Abstract of Statistics, Central Statistical Organization,
Ministry of Planning and Programme Implementation, GOI, New Delhi.
Indian coal is not of very good quality as the ash content of the coal is very high. Qualitatively only 14% of the non cooking coal reserves have ash content of 24% to 45%.
The sulphur content in coal and lignite is variable and not rank dependent like other elements such as carbon, hydrogen and oxygen. Indian coals are usually low in sulphur content generally well below 1% except for the north-eastern region coals, J&K coals, part of Varda valley coal, part of Gujarat, Rajasthan and Neyveli.
For sector like brick making, domestic burning, fertiliser industry etc. colas are being used with the average sulphur content of the order of 0.5%. The sulphur content of the feed coal for the Steel sector is taken as 0.64% due to blending of higher sulphur content foreign coals with the Indian coal which enhances the sulphur content of the blended material between 0.6% and 0.7%
Table 3.10 : Share of selected industries in total production and in total Emissions of pollutants
| Industry | % of Industrial Output |
|
||
|
|
|
|
||
| Industrial Chemicals |
|
|
|
|
| Iron and Steel |
|
|
|
|
| Non-ferrous metals |
|
|
|
|
| Other chemicals |
|
|
|
|
| Food products |
|
|
|
|
| Paper and Pulp Products |
|
|
|
|
| Non-metallic Mineral Products |
|
|
|
|
| Petroleum Refineries |
|
|
|
|
| Textiles |
|
|
|
|
| Total |
|
|
|
|
addition from the private sector and 28.4 million tons of capacity addition from public sector undertakings and the joint venture projects respectively.
In pursuance of the need for reduction of environmental pollution due to emissions from vehicles, the oil companies have already made available low leaded petrol (0.15 g/l) in the entire country from December 31, 1996 and unleaded petrol in the four metros of Delhi, Mumbai, Chennai and Calcutta and radial routes emanating from these metros and in the city of Agra from April, 1995. The availability of unleaded petrol has been extended to capital of State and Union Territories from June, 1998 and throughout the country will be available by 1999-2000. The oil companies have already started supplying high speed diesel with reduced sulphur content of 0.25% maximum as against the existing level of 1% from April 1, 1999 and petrol with reduced lead content of 0.15 gm/litre from December, 1996 in the entire country.
In order to meet the growing demand more than 31 MMT of crude was imported in 1997-98 (from April to February). The imported crude has varying content of sulphur. The % of sulphur content of the imported and Indian crude used at Mathura Refinery is given below:
|
|
Source of Crude |
|
|
|
Kuwait |
|
|
|
Dubai | 1.91% |
|
|
SuezMix | 1.63% |
|
|
ESCAVORS | 0.11% |
|
|
Quiobe | 0.11% |
|
|
Bombay High (India) | 0.2% |
SOURCE : Mathura Refinery Laboratory
Estimating the emission is complicated by the fact that emission rates
from similar activities in various regions and countries are influenced
by the difference in the industry supporting infrastructure, operating
& maintenance and level of technologies, used. In India, the development
of emission factor from process industries is still a continuing task.
The production based average emission factor approach has been selected
for estimate emissions of Sulphur dioxide from processes. The emission
factor used for specific process that contribute to emission of Sulphur
dioxide are given in Table 3.11.
|
|
|
(SO2 per tonne product) |
|
| Paper and Pulp |
|
CPCB Manual | |
| Copper Smelting |
|
||
| Lead Smelting |
|
WHO Manual | |
| Zinc Smelting |
|
CPCB Manual | |
| Thermal Power Plant |
|
CPCB Manual | |
| Oil Refineries | Catalytic Cracker |
|
CPCB Manual |
| Distillation (Atmospheric plus Vacuum) |
|
CPCB Manual | |
| Sulphur Recovery Unit |
|
CPCB Manual | |
| Sulphuric Acid |
|
WHO Manual | |
| SOURCE: | |||
| Central Pollution Control Board, Delhi, 1998 | |||
| Rapid Assessment of Sources of Air, Water and Land Pollutants, World Health Organization, Geneva, 1982 | |||
* Emission Factor Kg per Tonne of Sulphur in Feed
** Emission Factor Kg Sulphur per Tonne of Feed
***: % Sulphur content by weight
3.2.3 Current Sulphur Emission Estimates
SO2 emissions have been estimated based upon the coal consumption in industrial and power generation sector. While estimating the emissions from the industrial sector, fuel intensive industries like steel and cement have been considered. In the transport sector, the SO2 emissions from road transport using HSD and MS along with emissions due to coal consumed by railways have been considered. SO2 emissions from power sector have been cncluded from the total fuel consumption in the country.
The quantum of sulphur dioxide released into the atmosphere based upon 1996-97 fuel consumption data from some major sectors where data is available has been calculated and presented in Table 3.12
Table 3.12 : SO2 Emissions (1996-97)
|
|
|
|
| Industry | Cement |
|
| Steel |
|
|
| Transport | Road Transport* |
|
| Railways** |
|
|
| Power | Thermal*** |
|
| Lignite |
|
|
| Others |
|
|
| Total |
|
|
**: Based on total coal consumption
***: Based on coal consumption in power sector
Table 3.13 : Average (%) Sulphur in Coal and SO2 Conversion Factor
| Sector | Average Sulphur in Coal % | Multiplying Factor for Conversion of S to SO2 |
| Steel |
|
|
| Power |
|
|
| Railways |
|
|
| Cement |
|
|
| Lignite |
|
|
| Other |
|
|
|
|
|
||
| Use of Coal and lignite | Use of HSD and MS in Road Transport |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
3.3.1 Sources
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
SOURCE: Motor Transport Statistics of India-1997 Transport Research Wing, Ministry of Surface Transport.
Table 3.16 : NO2 Emissions Trend in production of Nitric Acid
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Nitric Acid Production |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fertilizer Statistics, The Fertilizer Association of India,
New Delhi, 1996-97, YOP : 1997
Central Pollution Control Board, Delhi, 1998
Rapid Assesment Of Sources Of Air, Water, and Land Pollutants,
World Health Organisation, Geneva, 1982
*: Year ending March 31st.
(C) Biomass Burning
The emission factor used for estimation of NO2 emission from
fuel are given in Table 3.17.
Table 3.17 : NO2 Emission Factors
| Nitrogen Fertilizer Production |
|
WHO Manual |
| Thermal Power Plant |
|
CPCB Manual |
| Cement Production |
|
CPCB Manual |
| Steel Industry (Metallurgical Coke Oven) |
|
CPCB Manual |
| Nitric Acid Production (with control) |
|
WHO Manual |
Rapid Assessment of Sources of Air, Water and Land Pollutants,
World Health Organization, Geneva, 1982
* Emission Factor Kg per Tonne of Sulphur in Feed
** Emission Factor Kg Sulphur per Tonne of Feed
|
|
|
|
| Car, Jeep, Taxi |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Two Wheelers |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Three Wheelers |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Buses and Goods Vehicles |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The emission factors for vehicles after 1996 and 2000 is based on COP
standard and 2000 COP standard.
NO2 emissions have been estimated based upon the coal consumption in industrial and power generation sector. While estimating the emissions from the industrial sector, fuel intensive industries like steel and cement have been considered. In the transport sector, NO2 emissions from road transport using HSD and MS have been taken. Process emissions of NO2 from production of Nitric acid and fertiliser have not been included.
Table 3.19 : NO2 Emissions (1996-97)
|
|
|
|
| Industry | Cement* |
|
| Steel |
|
|
| Transport | Road Transport** |
|
| Power | Thermal*** |
|
| Total |
|
|
**: Based on consumption of High Speed Diesel Oil & Motor Spirit
***: Based on coal consumption in power sector
Table 3.20 : Trends in Emissions of NO2
|
|
|
||||
| Steel | Cement |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
3.5 Suspended Particulate Matter (SPM)
3.5.1 Sources
Table 3.21 : Emission Factors For Different Vehicles
|
|
|
Particulate (gm/km) |
| Buses and Goods Vehicles |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Million Tonnes/Year) |
|
| Industry | ||
| Power generation |
|
|
| Biomass burning | ||
| Vehicular Traffic (Road) |
|
|
| Natural Sources
(e.g. soil dust) |